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Fooled by Randomness
- The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
- Gesprochen von: Sean Pratt
- Serie: Incerto
- Spieldauer: 10 Std. und 3 Min.
- Ungekürztes Hörbuch
- Kategorien: Politik & Sozialwissenschaften, Philosophie

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Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. In an entertaining narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. Taleb uses stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is.
The audiobook is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: Yogi Berra, the baseball legend; Karl Popper, the philosopher of knowledge; Solon, the ancient world's wisest man; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Ulysses. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life, but who also falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.
But the most recognizable character remains unnamed, the lucky fool in the right place at the right time - the embodiment of the "Survival of the Least Fit". Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained through chance.
It may be impossible to guard against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.
Kritikerstimmen
"An articulate, wise, and humorous meditation on the nature of success and failure that anyone who wants a little more of the former would do well to consider." (Amazon.com)
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Das sagen andere Hörer zu Fooled by Randomness
BewertungRezensionen - mit Klick auf einen der beiden Reiter können Sie die Quelle der Rezensionen bestimmen.
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- Amazon Kunde
- 02.01.2021
Unnötig
Die Inhalt des Buches kann man durch irgendein Vorlesungsskript der Wahrscheinlickeitstheorie zusammenfassen. Elementare Konzepte wurden als seine Lebensphilosophie dargestellt.
Ich weiß nicht, warum man das Buch anhören soll. Nach dem Lesen habe ich nun erfahren, dass der Autor ein großes Ego hat.
3 Leute fanden das hilfreich
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- Sebastian Deubler
- 03.01.2020
So much wisdom ...
This was the best non-fiction book I have listened to since many years. I love the structure of the book and the vast amount of wisdom explained by the help of stories, anecdotes, poems, philosophy making the book enjoyable to follow. I have ordered the next book of the author and start reading now. Thank you Nassim Nicolas Taleb.
2 Leute fanden das hilfreich
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- isolator
- 17.10.2021
It's always good to read Taleb
As always this was a great read from Taleb, eyes opening ideas and many of them are applicable in engineering too. When there is no time for testing in world of rushed projects, engineering is as fuzzy as social s sciences but worse because it gives you the false confidence since it's engineering. Just because you CAN measure everything, you CAN'T measure everything, there is no time for that. So you end up with theories to extrapolate the data and BOOM fooled by randomness!
1 Person fand das hilfreich
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- Pisarenco Alexandru
- 25.07.2018
just bad
Narrator: takes many long, unwarranted, unexpected, senseless pauses. makes it hard to follow the book.
Book: If I wanted a superficial summary of "thinking, fast and slow", decorated with random stories of insignificant anonymous people, seasoned with quite a frequent and disturbing ego-stroking of the author ("i benefit when most people around are stupid, except for a few who would recognize my brilliance and hire me for it", something like that), I'd ... probably not like myself very much.
there are better books, in all aspects, to get the little valuable information that is in this book.
5 Leute fanden das hilfreich
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- Marc Dierckx
- 03.09.2015
This is not any longer
I am really a fan of Nicholas Taleb's proofs that induction is a flaw and the future cannot be predicted, but after my third book of Nasim Taleb I really got the impression that there is a pattern in his theories and I am looking forward for the black swan to unravel my theory about the theories in the fourth sequel to come. In spite of the critique: I really enjoyed and also the third book made me utter "of course, you stupid idiot". By which I certainly did not ment Nasim Taleb, but confirmed his theory : "we are indeed always fooled by randomness"
3 Leute fanden das hilfreich
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- Thomas J. Pischke
- 30.05.2021
Underwhelmed
Maybe my expectations were too high, but this book seems like little more than anecdotes about rich traders, packaged as an essay on probability. I personally didn't find anything of value as an investor, though perhaps it could appeal to professional traders early in their career.
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- Janne
- 01.07.2020
Not too good
story was a bit bouncy, and the catch never appeared to me really. hard to follow.
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- Nabil
- 15.06.2020
Science is great; scientist are dangerous
Eine wunderbar skeptische Auseinandersetzung mit Wissenschaften und den Effekten von Zufall. Ich hatte unheimlichen Spaß während es Hörens und bin gespannt auf den Rest seiner Bücher!
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- Roman H
- 04.07.2019
Does the content fool us by randomness?
The author is a great mind and this book could be very interesting but even the best minds can benefit by listening to others.
In this case, the author should have listened to his editor.
Rather than a well-structured, organized book, this text appears like a random collection of anecdotes.
This makes it much harder to keep listening than would be desirable.
There are some great points in this book but in it's current version, there are serious shortcomings.
The author likes to praise himself, the organization of this book needs serious editing and rather than random anectodes of sometimes questionable relevance, a discussion of actual data and scientific concepts would seem beneficial.
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- Laney
- 26.08.2018
very good. would have liked more trading
great overview but would have liked to hear more depth about trading and felt it ended slightly abruptly wanting more. that aside, I would still highly recommend the book.
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