Paul Bennett takes on the breaking news of Israel’s strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and the resulting escalation—laying out what this could mean for U.S. real estate. Paul draws on 40 years of investment experience to address what matters: heightened market volatility, possible shifts in oil and inflation, and the sector-by-sector fundamentals that investors need to understand as the global crisis unfolds. Political opinions are left aside; the focus stays on how international instability can shape cap rates, transaction volume, and refinancing across key property types.

Key Highlights

• How immediate news from the Middle East sent equities down and triggered a clear risk-off mood among investors.

• Direct connection between Middle East conflict, oil price spikes, and the potential for higher inflation—impacting transportation, utilities, and supply chains.

• Why higher or sustained interest rates could follow, delaying Fed rate cuts and complicating refinances and new deals.

• Sector details: office properties are the most exposed to downside risk; retail, industrial, and small-bay industrial may see mild impacts from slower sentiment and rising costs; multifamily and self storage remain comparatively resilient, with only modest headwinds expected for now.

• Uncertainty around foreign capital flows: gateway cities like New York, LA, Miami, and San Francisco could see delays or reductions, but some foreign capital may seek safety in the U.S. if uncertainty builds elsewhere.

• What to watch: duration and severity of the conflict, changes in oil futures, transaction slowdowns, and which players get drawn in—all will set the tone for real estate’s path in the coming weeks.

References

• Previous episode: Episode 15: Mid-Year Real Estate Sector Outlook
  
  
• U.S. equity market performance cited in real-time during recording

Keywords

self storage investing, commercial real estate, geopolitical risk, Israel Iran conflict, market volatility, inflation, oil prices, cap rates, interest rates, foreign capital, office sector, multifamily, industrial real estate, sector analysis, investment context

Welcome to our data-driven mid-year 2025 real estate investing review, cutting through speculation to focus on the facts behind each major real estate sector’s position in the current cycle.

COVID-induced shockwaves are still shaping fundamentals, with some asset classes finding their footing and others facing ongoing pressure. We outline where new opportunities are appearing, which sectors have stabilized, and where caution is still warranted—without gloss or hype.

Key Highlights

• Multifamily: Momentum is returning. Rent growth is positive and holding just below the long-term average (2.2% vs. 2.6%), vacancy has stabilized near 6.2%, and new construction is at a decade low. Negative leverage persists due to interest rates, but fundamentals are stronger than a year ago.
• Retail: Stability defines the sector. Grocery-anchored shopping centers remain in demand with low vacancy, supported by a 400% year-over-year jump in institutional investment. Lease volume is limited more by supply than demand.
• Industrial: General industrial is steadying after pandemic-driven oversupply, with vacancies in the 7–8% range. Small bay industrial remains extremely tight nationwide (3% vacancy), pushing demand for service, light manufacturing, and new consumer uses.
• Office: Market faces continued challenges. Vacancy is forecasted to peak at 19% in 2025 and could remain elevated into 2026 or beyond. Class A space in major markets is relatively stable, but Class B and C properties face sharp headwinds as large employers shed space and transactions remain slow.
• Hospitality: Occupancy remains slightly below pre-pandemic levels, but rate and revenue per room now exceed 2019 figures, restoring profitability even with supply-side pressures.
• Self Storage: The sector is stabilizing after a 28-month period of declining street rates. Rates have now leveled, new development is slowing (pipeline down to 2.8% of existing stock, projected to fall to 2% by 2027), and long-term fundamentals remain solid for developers and investors.

For more head to www.aaastorageinvestments.com/.

In this episode of the AAA Storage Podcast, Paul Bennett focuses on the essential lessons that come from nearly four decades of investing in real estate. Paul shares practical, candid insights about what shapes long-term success—discipline, planning, selecting the right sponsor, and the realities of market cycles. The discussion speaks directly to high-net-worth investors looking for reliable returns in self storage, offering grounded perspective instead of trends or empty promises.

Key Highlights
• The importance of disciplined capital allocation and the pitfalls of trying to time the market
• How liquidity and having cash reserves enable investors to weather downturns and hold assets through challenging periods
• The consequences of chasing tax advantages and overleveraging, illustrated through personal experience during the aftermath of the Tax Reform Act of 1986
• Why sponsor alignment—with meaningful capital at risk and a problem-solving approach—protects investors when markets shift
• Herd mentality in real estate: how following the crowd leads to trouble and why well-placed contrarian moves create opportunity
• The responsibility of passive investors to perform due diligence on market cycles, local demand, and the sponsor’s commitment and expertise

Resources
• Paul Shannon LinkedIn Post: Lessons Learned From a Challenging Year of Passive Investing
• Paul Shannon LinkedIn Post: CBRE data for investing in 2025

In this episode of The AAA Storage Podcast, Paul Bennett unravels the current dynamics of the multifamily and self-storage markets. Fresh from the PassivePockets conference, Paul shares insights from thought leader Brian Burke on the real estate sector's trajectory through 2025. Explore the influence of the 2008 financial crisis patterns on today's market and discover why patience and strategic opportunities may define the real estate landscape for the coming years.

Key Highlights:
• Insights from Brian Burke's presentation at the PassivePockets conference.
• Exploration of the multifamily and self-storage sectors' current conditions and future outlook.
• Discussion on the differentiation between externally driven down cycles and self-inflicted industry changes.
• Examination of the ongoing opportunities in real estate amid broader market rebalancing.
• The significance of patience, liquidity, and strategic investments in the current market.

Quotes:
• "The market is not like the stock market—it doesn’t move as quickly. It’s more about the bottoming process than the bottom itself." – Paul Bennett
• "Developers as a group are not real smart; when conditions are good, we build too much." – Paul Bennett

Join Paul Bennett to discuss the dynamics of Growth Fund 2, a promising investment venture emerging from the success of Growth Fund 1. This episode dives into the strategic approach of moving from single property syndications to a well-structured fund model, providing a synthesis of expertise in self-storage and office industrial flex investments. Dive into the tactical deployment of capital, market trends, and the opportunities awaiting accredited investors looking to diversify and grow their equity through strategic real estate development.

Key Highlights:
• Transition from single property syndications to an efficient fund model capitalizing on market shifts.
• In-depth discussion on Growth Fund 2’s strategy focusing on merchant development and value creation.
• Insight into the geographic spread of investments, particularly in Texas and North Carolina markets.
• The importance of diversification with a portfolio encompassing both self-storage and office industrial flex projects.
• Due diligence processes ensuring minimal risk and optimal investor alignment.

Quotes
• "We're focused on developing from a ground-up standpoint, creating that value difference." – Paul Bennett
• "The efficiency benefits both investors and sponsors." – Paul Bennett

References
• AAA Storage Investments: aaastorageinvestments.com
• PassivePockets platform and conference information: passivepockets.com

For more details, contact Paul Bennett or Andrew Frowine through the AAA Storage Investments website.

In Episode 11 of the AAA Storage Podcast, host Paul Bennett discusses the current market turmoil and its implications for self-storage investing. Amidst recent fluctuations in the markets, they dive into how these changes impact alternative investments, particularly focusing on self-storage facilities. Paul brings his extensive experience to explore the risks and opportunities that arise in such uncertain times, offering insights into why self-storage remains a resilient investment choice.

Key Highlights
• Analysis of recent market volatility and its effects on investments.
• Discussion on the impact of trade policies and tariffs on self-storage.
• Explanation of the correlation between public markets and alternative investments.
• Insights into systematic risk versus market correlation.
• Paul Bennett's thoughts on investing for alpha versus beta.
• Importance of direct investment in real estate for portfolio diversification.

Quotes
• "The markets don't like uncertainty—what they don't like is uncertainty." – Paul Bennett
• "Systematic risk is a different animal; it directly impacts real estate in a traditional sense." – Paul Bennett
• "Our investments are not correlated to the public markets—they're tangible assets acting as inflation hedges." – Paul Bennett
• "You need to have an allocation in your portfolio that's direct into, I think, real estate." – Paul Bennett

In this enlightening episode of the AAA Storage podcast, Paul Bennett explores the nuanced world of self-storage investment with a focus on hyper-local market dynamics. We discuss the intricacies of supply and demand, emphasizing the importance of geographic specificity in self-storage performance. Tune in to discover essential strategies for evaluating local markets and the critical role of community engagement to enhance investor success.

Key Highlights:
• Definition and significance of hyper-local markets in self-storage investment.
• Examination of square footage per capita as a crucial metric and its variability across different markets.
• The impact of macroeconomic factors like interest rates on local self-storage demand.
• Importance of location in real estate versus its unique implications for self-storage.
• Strategic community engagement for enhancing market presence.
• The role of Google Ads and online searches in hyper-local marketing.

Quotes:
• "A hyperlocal market is simply a small, well-defined geographic area." – Paul Bennett
• "Our local managers are doing things like sponsoring the local little league... building relationships." – Paul Bennett
• "Google and online searches... have become critically important in the storage industry." – Paul Bennett

In this episode of the AAA Storage podcast, we explore how to navigate economic cycles within the self-storage industry, featuring insights from Paul Bennett. With expertise spanning several decades and economic downturns, Paul shares his experiences weathering financial storms from the 2008 crisis to the COVID-19 pandemic. Dive into the strategies that make self-storage a resilient asset class, even in tumultuous times, and the fundamentals that continue to offer long-term investment stability.

Key Highlights:

• Understanding the resilience of self-storage during economic shifts, including insights from the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic.
• The impact of market correlation and alternative investments on self-storage performance.
• The strategic advantages of investing in non-metro self-storage facilities to avoid market saturation.
• Current market trends, including the effects of interest rates and new developments on self-storage demand.
• Strategies for self-storage investors during challenging economic times and upcoming market opportunities.

Quotes:

• "Self-storage has the lowest default rate of any type of real estate on the planet." – Paul Bennett
• "Buy when other people are selling; develop when other people are afraid." – Paul Bennett
• "The dynamics are consistent enough that what happens to a self-storage deal in a bad economy is that it simply takes longer to lease up." – Paul Bennett