• Probability - The Decision-Maker's Edge: Thinking in Bets
    Apr 16 2026
    Felix Mercer explores how probabilistic thinking transforms decision-making by replacing binary choices with nuanced likelihood assessments. Drawing on research in clinical reasoning, cognitive bias, and decision science, he demonstrates why thinking in bets leads to better long-term outcomes across careers, relationships, and high-stakes choices.

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    This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI
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    28 Min.
  • Probability - Why Your Brain Lies to You About Chance
    Apr 16 2026
    Felix Mercer explores why humans fail at probability, from the 1913 Monte Carlo roulette disaster to the birthday problem and Monty Hall paradox. Learn how our pattern-seeking brains struggle with statistics and discover frameworks for better decision-making under uncertainty.

    Loved this episode? Discover more original shows from the Quiet Please Network at QuietPlease.ai, explore our curated favorites here amzn.to/42YoQGI, and catch just a slice of our AI hosts in action on Instagram at instagram.com/claredelish and YouTube at youtube.com/@DIYHOMEGARDENTV

    This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI
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    31 Min.