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Decoding Causality

Decoding Causality

Von: Amir Rafe
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Welcome to Decoding Causality, where conversations unravel the mysteries of cause and effect. Inspired by the ideas explored in The Book of Why, this podcast delves into the fascinating world of causal reasoning, counterfactuals, and the science of asking ‘why.’ Each episode breaks down complex concepts into accessible and thought-provoking insights. Perfect for researchers, students, and curious minds, this podcast offers a fresh take on decision-making and discovery.Amir Rafe Wissenschaft
  • Closing the Loop: What We Learned About Causality
    Apr 21 2026

    Season 1 - Extra: Wrap-up of The Book of Why

    Welcome back to the Decoding Causality podcast after a long hiatus! As Season 1 comes to a close, we are wrapping up our journey by summarizing the entirety of The Book of Why.

    In this episode, we explore the convergence of big data, artificial intelligence, and the age-old question of “why.” While machines have become astonishingly good at pattern recognition, they still struggle with the essence of human understanding: causal reasoning. We reflect on how the Causal Revolution challenged traditional statistics and ask whether AI can ever truly emulate human curiosity and imagination.

    What does it take for machines to not only predict outcomes but explain them? Can we teach future robots to use causal theories to learn just like humans? Join us for a thought-provoking finale as we relate these concepts to real-world scenarios, from medicine and public policy to transportation engineering and AI, and examine the future of causal thinking in a world increasingly driven by data and algorithms.

    Stay tuned, because we will be back with Season 2 soon!🔍 Stay Connected

    📧 Email: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠amir.rafe@txstate.edu⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

    🌐 Website: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://pozapas.github.io/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

    🔗 LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/amir-rafe-08770854/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

    🐦 X: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://x.com/rafeamir⁠⁠

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    41 Min.
  • S1E10. Can AI Ask Why? The Final Frontier of Causal Reasoning
    Apr 21 2025

    Season 1: The Book of Why

    As Season 1 comes to a close, we explore the convergence of big data, artificial intelligence, and the age-old question of “why.” While machines have become astonishingly good at pattern recognition, they still struggle with the essence of human understanding: causal reasoning. In this episode, we reflect on how the Causal Revolution challenged traditional statistics and ask whether AI can ever truly emulate human curiosity and imagination.

    What does it take for machines to not only predict outcomes but explain them? Can we teach AI to distinguish correlation from causation—or even reason about counterfactuals? Join us for a thought-provoking finale as we examine the future of causal thinking in a world increasingly driven by data and algorithms.

    🔍 Stay Connected

    📧 Email: ⁠⁠⁠⁠amir.rafe@usu.edu⁠⁠⁠⁠

    🌐 Website: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://pozapas.github.io/⁠⁠⁠⁠

    🔗 LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/amir-rafe-08770854/⁠⁠⁠⁠

    🐦 X: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://x.com/rafeamir⁠⁠

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    14 Min.
  • S1E09. Tracing the Invisible: How Causes Travel Through the World
    Apr 8 2025

    Season 1: The Book of Why

    What lies between cause and effect? In this episode, we delve into the concept of mediation, the hidden pathways that connect actions to outcomes. From James Lind’s battle with scurvy to groundbreaking diagrams in intelligence research, we explore how scientists uncover the mechanisms that explain how and why effects occur. When we ask, “Does Drug B prevent heart attacks?”, we’re really asking: “Through what chain of events?” Understanding these chains can mean the difference between truth and tragic error.

    We also reflect on the legacy of Barbara Burks—a pioneering woman in science who challenged the norms of her time by visualizing the complex threads of nature and nurture through path diagrams, decades ahead of her field. Why do some causes work directly while others weave through mediators? And how can this knowledge transform scientific policy, medicine, and artificial intelligence?

    Join us as we climb deeper into the Ladder of Causation and learn to trace the steps between action and consequence.

    🔍 Stay Connected

    📧 Email: ⁠⁠⁠amir.rafe@usu.edu⁠⁠⁠

    🌐 Website: ⁠⁠⁠https://pozapas.github.io/⁠⁠⁠

    🔗 LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/amir-rafe-08770854/⁠⁠⁠

    🐦 X: ⁠⁠⁠https://x.com/rafeamir⁠⁠

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    28 Min.
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