Few legal decisions in British Columbia have unsettled homeowners, investors, and policymakers quite like the recent Cowichan land claim ruling. What began as a courtroom examination of Aboriginal title in Richmond has quickly evolved into a province-wide conversation about property rights, constitutional law, and the future of land ownership in Canada.

In this episode, we move beyond the headlines and into substance, joined by one of the country’s leading voices in Aboriginal law, Anita Boscariol, Associate Counsel at Watson Goepel. With deep expertise in UNDRIP and British Columbia’s DRIPA legislation, Anita brings clarity to a topic that has generated more heat than light.

At the center of the discussion is a question many British Columbians never expected to ask: can Aboriginal title and private fee simple ownership legally coexist?

Anita begins by unpacking the legal architecture that led us here. Section 35 of Canada’s Constitution recognizes and affirms existing Aboriginal and treaty rights. UNDRIP, adopted federally and provincially through DRIPA, did not create new rights but reframed how governments must approach decision-making — shifting from simple consultation toward alignment with Indigenous rights and title. In effect, the legal environment has matured. Courts are now applying principles that have existed constitutionally for decades with greater rigor.

The Cowichan ruling raised eyebrows because it discussed Aboriginal title over lands currently held in private fee simple. The court described Aboriginal title as a “prior and senior right” — language that sparked anxiety among homeowners. Anita explains that this does not automatically invalidate private ownership, nor does it signal immediate land transfers. Rather, it forces courts and governments to confront how overlapping legal interests can be reconciled.

The episode explores whether historical use — such as fishing or seasonal occupation — could support future claims, and whether 95% of British Columbia being unceded territory places the entire province at risk. Anita clarifies that while most of BC lacks historic treaties, successful title claims require strict legal tests, including exclusive occupation at the time of Crown sovereignty. The bar remains high.

For homeowners, the message is measured: avoid panic-driven decisions. Stay informed. Understand the distinction between legal theory and practical outcome. The Cowichan case signals a continued evolution in Indigenous-Crown relations — not the erasure of private ownership.

As British Columbia navigates reconciliation within a modern economic framework, the balance between constitutional recognition and property certainty will define the next chapter.

And in a province where real estate underpins both household wealth and public finance, that chapter matters profoundly.

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Dan Wurtele, PREC, REIA

604.809.0834

dan@thevancouverlife.com

Ryan Dash PREC

778.898.0089
ryan@thevancouverlife.com

www.thevancouverlife.com

Affordability in Vancouver has improved by roughly 37% from its 2023 peak. Monthly mortgage payments on an average home have fallen by about $1,500, dropping from roughly $5,600 to $4,100. That’s a material shift, bringing affordability back to early-2022 levels. Historically, when affordability sat here, transaction volumes were meaningfully higher. While payments remain well above pre-pandemic norms, the direction of travel matters—and for buyers watching the market closely, this is the most constructive affordability backdrop in years.

But beneath that surface improvement, cracks are forming. Developers—arguably the most forward-looking participants in housing—are pulling back sharply. Land sales, an early indicator of future housing supply, have collapsed well below historical norms. When developers stop buying land, it’s rarely about today’s headlines; it’s a judgment call on whether prices, financing, and demand will justify risk years down the road. The implication is uncomfortable: fewer projects today guarantees tighter supply later, particularly as population growth and confidence eventually normalize.

Employment data adds another layer of complexity. Canada’s labor market is cooling, but not in the way past downturns looked. Job losses are emerging in traditional sectors, yet unemployment hasn’t spiked because the workforce itself is shrinking—driven by retirements and slower population growth. That structural shift matters. Slower labor growth caps wage growth, which in turn limits housing demand over the long run. At the same time, uneven job creation across provinces may quietly redirect housing and rental demand to where employment is strongest.

On the rental front, the story is finally turning for tenants. Asking rents have fallen for more than a year and recently hit multi-year lows, with Vancouver among the steepest declines. Yet even here, the rate of decline is slowing—hinting that rental markets may be approaching stabilization.

Governments, facing slowing activity, are stepping in with incentives. Programs like Nova Scotia’s ultra-low down payment initiative underscore a key theme of the episode: these policies are less a sign of strength than a response to economic fragility. They don’t solve affordability at its root; they increase leverage in an already indebted system.

Add rising home insurance costs—driven by aging housing stock and extreme weather—and the cost pressures on ownership and rental housing continue to build, even as headline prices soften.

The takeaway is clear: today’s market is defined by contradictions. Affordability is improving, but demand remains hesitant. Supply is being quietly choked off. Costs are shifting rather than disappearing. And interest rates, once the dominant force, may now be the least volatile variable.

This episode isn’t about calling a top or a bottom. It’s about understanding where the next pressure points are forming—and why the decisions being made today may shape Canada’s housing landscape for the next decade.

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Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

📆 https://calendly.com/thevancouverlife

Dan Wurtele, PREC, REIA

604.809.0834

dan@thevancouverlife.com

Ryan Dash PREC

778.898.0089
ryan@thevancouverlife.com

www.thevancouverlife.com

January delivered a sobering wake-up call for Greater Vancouver real estate. Sales volumes collapsed 29% year over year—on top of 2025 already being the weakest sales year in a quarter century. That makes this not just a slow start to the year, but one of the most severe demand contractions the market has faced in decades. Against that backdrop, this episode dives into the newly released February data to answer the question on everyone’s mind: how close are we to the bottom—and could 2026 actually be worse than 2025?

The discussion begins with a critical stabilizing metric: mortgage arrears. Despite mounting pressure elsewhere, Canada’s arrears rate remains flat at 0.25%, with just over 12,000 mortgages delinquent out of nearly five million. By global standards, this is extraordinarily low—especially compared to the U.S., where arrears sit more than six times higher. Historically, Canada has never experienced sustained spikes in this metric, suggesting that while prices are falling, systemic mortgage distress has not yet materialized.

From there, attention shifts to a growing concern for long-term growth: British Columbia’s rising perception as “uninvestable.” Recent legal developments surrounding the Prince Rupert Port Authority underscore a broader risk narrative—projects approved at every level can still face years of legal uncertainty. As foreign capital grows more cautious, the downstream consequences become clear: fewer housing starts, tighter supply down the road, and higher costs borne by everyday Canadians.

The episode then tackles a powerful and timely issue—seller psychology. In one of the most competitive markets in over a decade, many sellers are attempting to cut commissions in an effort to preserve net proceeds. The irony is stark. With inventory at multi-year highs, days on market stretching to seven-year peaks, and price cuts routinely reaching $100,000–$150,000, execution matters more than ever. In a 9% sales-to-active ratio environment—the lowest in 13 years—pricing mistakes aren’t corrected, they’re punished. The takeaway is clear: this is the kind of market where experience, exposure, and strategy matter most.

Zooming out, Toronto provides a cautionary parallel. GTA prices are now down 27% from their 2022 peak, sales are at post-financial-crisis lows, and inventory has surged to record January levels. Vancouver’s February data shows similar stress. Sales fell to just 1,104 transactions—down 38% month over month and 29% year over year—ranking among the weakest months in two decades. Inventory now sits 38% above long-term averages, while prices continue their steady descent. The benchmark HPI has dropped for ten consecutive months, pulling values back to late-2021 levels.

The episode closes with a crucial reminder: housing downturns don’t stay contained within housing. Falling prices ripple outward—reducing government revenues, slowing construction, tightening credit, and ultimately weighing on employment and consumer spending. Some price correction is healthy. Prolonged, disorderly declines are not. The risk ahead isn’t that the market is adjusting—but that we underestimate how deeply housing is embedded in Canada’s entire economic system.

This episode offers a clear, data-driven look at where we stand, why the bottom isn’t in yet, and why the next phase of this cycle will demand far more discipline.

_________________________________

Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

📆 https://calendly.com/thevancouverlife

Dan Wurtele, PREC, REIA

604.809.0834

dan@thevancouverlife.com

Ryan Dash PREC

778.898.0089
ryan@thevancouverlife.com

www.thevancouverlife.com