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Systemic Pressure And The Logic Of Attrition

Systemic Pressure And The Logic Of Attrition

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Precision beats spectacle when campaigns stretch through winter. We unpack a weeklong operational push defined by disciplined scale: strategic fires paired with steady ground maneuver to constrain Ukrainian regeneration, disrupt logistics, and press multiple axes without chasing a single decisive clash. With Colonel A.C. Oguntoye at the table, we trace how strikes on industry, energy, transport, airfields, ports, and UAV production sync with infantry advances to create cumulative effects that outlast any one engagement.

We start up north, where buffer depth and observation improve while staging space tightens near the border, and Kharkiv sees systematic denial of massing and counterattack. Westward, the Kupyansk axis becomes a masterclass in positional warfare: terrain that tightens supply routes, depot destruction that collapses tempo, and winter conditions that turn logistics into the main battle. In the south, broad-front pressure prevents rotations, forcing mixed formations to hold lines under stress as combined arms coordination chews through armor, artillery, and depots. The center remains the fulcrum, where heavy attrition against high-value formations shapes choices everywhere else, pulling reserves from other sectors and setting the pace of the campaign.

We then move east, tracking methodical gains that erode layered defenses village by village, and we examine the Dnipro sector’s quieter but decisive role in containment, EW suppression, and counter-battery disruption that constrains lateral movement. Throughout, air and missile activity remains integral: strike UAVs and missiles degrade long-range fires and sensing, while air defenses intercept guided bombs, rockets, and swarms of UAVs to protect tempo on the ground. The throughline is clear: sustain systemic pressure, control information and logistics, and force the opponent onto a rationed clock where options narrow by the day.

If you value clear, grounded analysis of how logistics, ISR, and combined arms decide outcomes, hit follow, share this episode with a friend who loves military strategy, and leave a quick review to tell us which sector you think will tip the balance next.

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