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Texas Instruments Q4 2025 Earnings Analysis

Texas Instruments Q4 2025 Earnings Analysis

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 # Beta Finch Podcast Script: Texas Instruments Q4 2025 Earnings

**ALEX**: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown where we turn quarterly reports into conversations you can actually follow. I'm Alex, and I'm here with Jordan to dive into Texas Instruments' fourth quarter results that just dropped. This podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

**JORDAN**: Thanks Alex. And wow, what a quarter to unpack from TXN. They just reported some pretty impressive numbers that have me raising my eyebrows - in a good way.

**ALEX**: Right? Let's start with the headline numbers. Revenue came in at $4.4 billion for Q4, which was actually right in line with expectations. But here's what's interesting - that's a 10% jump year-over-year, even though it was down 7% sequentially, which is pretty normal for a fourth quarter.

**JORDAN**: What really caught my attention was the segment performance. Analog revenue grew 14% year-over-year, embedded processing was up 8%. But Alex, I think the real story here is what's happening with their end markets. They've actually reorganized how they report these, and there's a new player in town.

**ALEX**: You're talking about data center, right? They carved out this new category that includes data center compute, networking, and power management. And Jordan, the numbers here are eye-popping - data center revenue grew around 70% year-over-year.

**JORDAN**: Exactly! And it's not just a flash in the pan. Management said this has been growing for seven consecutive quarters now. They're ending 2025 with about $450 million quarterly run rate in data center, which is becoming a material part of their business.

**ALEX**: Let's zoom out to the full year picture because it really shows TI's strategic positioning. Industrial was their biggest segment at $5.8 billion, up 12% year-over-year. Automotive matched that at $5.8 billion, up 6%. Together with data center, these three segments made up 75% of their revenue.

**JORDAN**: That's a massive shift from where they were in 2013 when these segments were only 43% of revenue. It shows they've really focused their portfolio on higher-growth, more resilient markets. But Alex, what really impressed me was the cash flow story.

**ALEX**: Oh absolutely. Free cash flow nearly doubled to $2.9 billion, or 17% of revenue. That's a 96% increase from 2024. And they returned a whopping $6.5 billion to shareholders over the past twelve months through dividends and buybacks.

**JORDAN**: Speaking of dividends, they raised it 4% to $1.42 per share - that's their 22nd consecutive year of increases. But here's what I found fascinating in the Q&A section: they're guiding Q1 revenue between $4.32 billion and $4.68 billion, which is significantly above normal seasonality.

**ALEX**: Yeah, that really stood out to me too. One analyst pointed out this might be the first time they've guided sequential growth in Q1 since right after the financial crisis, about fifteen years ago. When pressed about what's driving this, management was pretty clear it's not pricing-related.

**JORDAN**: Right, CEO Haviv Ilan was emphatic that pricing isn't the driver here. He actually expects company-wide pricing to be down low single digits in 2026, similar to 2025. Instead, he pointed to stronger bookings, particularly in industrial and data center markets.

**ALEX**: The industrial recovery story is interesting because they're still about 25% below their 2022 peak levels, so there's room to run. But what I found most intriguing was their inventory strategy. They've built up $4.8 billion in inventory - 222 days worth - and management seems really proud of this position.

**JORDAN**: And for good reason, Alex. In today's environment where customers are placing more last-minute orders - what

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