[Original post: Vibecession - Much More Than You Wanted To Know]

Table of Contents

1: When was the vibecession?
2: Is the vibecession just sublimating cultural complaints?
3: Discourse downstream of the Mike Green $140K poverty line post
4: What about other countries?
5: Comments on rent/housing
6: Comments on inflation
7: Comments on vibes
8: Other good comments
9: The parable of Calvin's grandparents
10: Updates / conclusions

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-vibecession

This year's prediction contest is live on Metaculus. They write:

This year's contest draws directly from that community, with all questions suggested by ACX readers. Both experienced forecasters and newcomers are invited to participate, making predictions across U.S. politics, AI, international affairs, and culture.

To participate, submit your predictions by January 17th at 11:59 PM PT. At that time, we will take a snapshot of all standing forecasts, which will determine the contest rankings and the allocation of the $10,000 prize pool. While you are encouraged to continue updating your predictions throughout the year, forecasts made after January 17th will only affect site leaderboards, not contest rankings.

You are welcome to create a bot account to forecast and participate in addition to your regular Metaculus account. Create a bot account and get support building a bot here.

And they've also announced this year's winners for best questions submitted. Congratulations to:

1. Gumbledalf ($700)
2. espiritu57 ($500)
3. setasojiro843047 (Substack handle) ($400)
4. sai_39 ($300)
5. nicholaskross ($250)
6. (Anonymous) ($200)
7. (Anonymous) ($200)
8. RMD ($150)
9. (Anonymous) ($150)
10. Hippopotamus_bartholomeus ($150)

To participate in the tournament or learn more, go to Metaculus.

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/acxmetaculus-prediction-contest-2026

Hating Boomers is the new cool thing. Amazon offerings include A Generation Of Sociopaths: How The Baby Boomers Betrayed America, the two apparently unrelated books How The Boomers Took Their Children's Future and How The Boomers Stole Millennials' Future, and Boomers: The Men And Women Who Promised Freedom But Delivered Disaster. "You don't hate Boomers enough" has become a popular Twitter catchphrase. Richard Hanania, who has tried hating every group once, has decided that hating Boomers is his favorite.

Some people might say we just experienced a historic upwelling of identity politics, that it was pretty terrible for everyone involved, and that perhaps we need a new us-vs-them conflict like we need a punch to the face. This, the Boomer-haters will tell you, would be a mistaken generalization. This time, we have finally discovered a form of identity politics which carves reality at its joints, truly separating the good and bad people.

I think these arguments fall short. Even if they didn't, the usual bias against identity politics should make us think twice about pursuing them too zealously.

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/against-against-boomers