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    Inhaltsangabe

    THE INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER

    From the world-leaders in strategic thinking and the multi-million copy bestselling authors of Thinking Fast and Slow and Nudge, the next big book to change the way you think.  

    We like to think we make decisions based on good reasoning–and that our doctors, judges, politicians, economic forecasters and employers do too. In this groundbreaking book, three world-leading behavioural scientists come together to assess the last great fault in our collective decision-making: noise.

    We all make bad judgements more than we think. Noise shows us what we can do to make better ones.

    PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio. 

    ©2021 Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, Cass R. Sunstein (P)2021 HarperCollins Publishers Limited

    Kritikerstimmen

    "Noise may be the most important book I've read in more than a decade. A genuinely new idea so exceedingly important you will immediately put it into practice. A masterpiece." (Angela Duckworth, author of Grit)

    "An absolutely brilliant investigation of a massive societal problem that has been hiding in plain sight." (Steven Levitt, co-author of Freakonomics)

    "A monumental, gripping book.... Outstanding." (Sunday Times)

    Das könnte dir auch gefallen

    Das sagen andere Hörer zu Noise

    Nur Nutzer, die den Titel gehört haben, können Rezensionen abgeben.
    Gesamt
    • 4.5 out of 5 stars
    • 5 Sterne
      66
    • 4 Sterne
      27
    • 3 Sterne
      13
    • 2 Sterne
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    • 1 Stern
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    Sprecher
    • 4.5 out of 5 stars
    • 5 Sterne
      64
    • 4 Sterne
      12
    • 3 Sterne
      8
    • 2 Sterne
      1
    • 1 Stern
      1
    Geschichte
    • 4.5 out of 5 stars
    • 5 Sterne
      49
    • 4 Sterne
      23
    • 3 Sterne
      10
    • 2 Sterne
      1
    • 1 Stern
      3

    Rezensionen - mit Klick auf einen der beiden Reiter können Sie die Quelle der Rezensionen bestimmen.

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    • Gesamt
      4 out of 5 stars
    • Sprecher
      3 out of 5 stars
    • Geschichte
      1 out of 5 stars

    More insights into human thinking

    Having read “Thing, Fast and Slow”, this feels like a great sequel. Some thougts were already present in that book, but are of course greatly expanded here.

    However, I’m unhappy with the narrator. The stress of the voice is often at parts of the sentence that I would consider less important. I need to concentrate a lot to rearrange the parts in my mind to be coherent. Also, this is a non-fiction book that not only contains continuous text. There are several sub-headings and at the end of the chapter important quotes; none of those are clearly seperated by voice.

    In a similar vein: Why am I forced to rate the story of this book in order to write my review? That does not apply to non-fiction texts at all.

    8 Leute fanden das hilfreich

    • Gesamt
      3 out of 5 stars
    • Sprecher
      3 out of 5 stars
    • Geschichte
      3 out of 5 stars

    Why did they rename "variance" to "noise"?

    There is a perfectly fine mathematical term "variance" used to describe variance in measurements. Here the authors somehow decided to confuse it with another mathematical term noise which most of the time means uncertainty in the measurement set up. Why would you do that? I was struggling to grasp the main point up until they said that MSE = bias squared + noise, but it should actually be simply called variance.

    The whole book can be summarized as "there's a much larger variance in decisions that we expect to be rather accurate", be it judges giving sentences or doctors deciding treatment. The examples are in fact well chosen and a little bit jaw-dropping, but I couldn't look past this erroneous use of perfectly fine mathematical terms.

    I also feel like the authors stressed MSE too much, there are also other metrics. They did mention that in the middle and in the end, but failed to stress that for other accuracy cannot in general be split into bias squared + variance

    1 Person fand das hilfreich

    • Gesamt
      5 out of 5 stars
    • Sprecher
      5 out of 5 stars
    • Geschichte
      5 out of 5 stars

    Brilliant and important book

    I hope many people will read or listen to this book. It explains the problem of noise which most people are completely unaware of and which causes lots of harm in many areas. This book could and should influence many people to take this severe problem of noise seriously and fight it in the future.

    • Gesamt
      1 out of 5 stars
    • Sprecher
      4 out of 5 stars
    • Geschichte
      1 out of 5 stars

    Advertisement for consultancy services

    I am some hours in and I am now giving up as I have so far learned nothing I consider useful for my own decision making processes. The authors came across to me as to trying to sell their consultancy services to companies, this book being an advertisment for their services. But why one should conduct a "noise audit" is anyone's guess. The authors claim that by filtering noise but not bias, a decision making process, e.g. a forecast for a future market share of a company in a given marketplace, can be made more consistent. E.g. in a noise audit, when several of a company's forecasters make the same forecast the results are distributed along a bell curve. What the authors want to achieve is that all forecasts are identical or near identical. They do not aim to or claim to be able to make the forecasts more accurate through a noise audit! They just want the decisions to be more consistently wrong by emphasizing the decision making process! The remaining error then being defined as bias which is to be tackled by somebody else and not the concern of this book. If this seems nonsensical to you and you can imagine the miriad of problems arising from prioritizing consistency then consider yourself warned. Otherwise by all means buy this book.

    • Gesamt
      5 out of 5 stars
    • Sprecher
      5 out of 5 stars
    • Geschichte
      5 out of 5 stars

    Excellent

    Another great book of Kahnemann. Highly recommend it, learned some new things. Very good read.