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Noise

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Noise

Von: Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, Cass R. Sunstein
Gesprochen von: Todd Ross, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony
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THE INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER ‘A monumental, gripping book … Outstanding’ SUNDAY TIMES

‘Noise may be the most important book I've read in more than a decade. A genuinely new idea so exceedingly important you will immediately put it into practice. A masterpiece’
Angela Duckworth, author of Grit

‘An absolutely brilliant investigation of a massive societal problem that has been hiding in plain sight’
Steven Levitt, co-author of Freakonomics

From the world-leaders in strategic thinking and the multi-million copy bestselling authors of Thinking Fast and Slow and Nudge, the next big book to change the way you think.

We like to think we make decisions based on good reasoning – and that our doctors, judges, politicians, economic forecasters and employers do too. In this groundbreaking book, three world-leading behavioural scientists come together to assess the last great fault in our collective decision-making: noise.

We all make bad judgements more than we think. Noise shows us what we can do to make better ones.

 Management & Leadership Persönliche Entwicklung Seelische & Geistige Gesundheit Stressmanagement

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Kritikerstimmen

The Sunday Times bestseller (May 2021)
‘A tour de force of scholarship and clear writing’
New York Times
‘This is a monumental, gripping book. It is also bracing … The three authors have transformed the way we think about the world. They have looked beneath and beyond the way we make decisions and organise our lives. A follow-up of sorts to Thinking, Fast and Slow, it is a further step down the road towards a more complex and realistic grasp of human affairs that is replacing the crude simplifications of the recent past. Outstanding’
Sunday Times
‘As you’d expect from its authors, it is a rigorous approach to an important topic… There’s lots to surprise and entertain. Anyone who has found the literature on cognitive biases important will find this a valuable addition to their knowledge’ Danny Finkelstein, The Times
‘Noise is everywhere and is seriously disruptive. The authors have come up with a bold solution. The book is a satisfying journey through a big but not unsolvable problem, with plenty of fascinating case studies along the way. Humans are often bad at making decisions. But we can get better’
Martha Gill, Evening Standard
‘The greatest source of ineffective policies are often not biases, corruption or ill-will, but three “I”: Intuition, Ignorance and Inertia. This book masterfully demonstrates why the three “I” are so pervasive, and what we can do to fight them. An essential, eye opening read’
Esther Duflo, winner of a 2019 Nobel Prize
‘In Noise, the authors brilliantly apply their unique and novel insights into the flaws in human judgment to every sphere of human endeavour… Noise is a masterful achievement and a landmark in the field of psychology’
Philip E. Tetlock, co-author of Superforecasting
‘An electrifying exploration of the human mind, this book will permanently change the way we think about the scale and scope of bias’
David Lammy
Alle Sterne
Am relevantesten
Having read “Thing, Fast and Slow”, this feels like a great sequel. Some thougts were already present in that book, but are of course greatly expanded here.

However, I’m unhappy with the narrator. The stress of the voice is often at parts of the sentence that I would consider less important. I need to concentrate a lot to rearrange the parts in my mind to be coherent. Also, this is a non-fiction book that not only contains continuous text. There are several sub-headings and at the end of the chapter important quotes; none of those are clearly seperated by voice.

In a similar vein: Why am I forced to rate the story of this book in order to write my review? That does not apply to non-fiction texts at all.

More insights into human thinking

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There is a perfectly fine mathematical term "variance" used to describe variance in measurements. Here the authors somehow decided to confuse it with another mathematical term noise which most of the time means uncertainty in the measurement set up. Why would you do that? I was struggling to grasp the main point up until they said that MSE = bias squared + noise, but it should actually be simply called variance.

The whole book can be summarized as "there's a much larger variance in decisions that we expect to be rather accurate", be it judges giving sentences or doctors deciding treatment. The examples are in fact well chosen and a little bit jaw-dropping, but I couldn't look past this erroneous use of perfectly fine mathematical terms.

I also feel like the authors stressed MSE too much, there are also other metrics. They did mention that in the middle and in the end, but failed to stress that for other accuracy cannot in general be split into bias squared + variance

Why did they rename "variance" to "noise"?

Ein Fehler ist aufgetreten. Bitte versuche es in ein paar Minuten noch einmal.
I hope many people will read or listen to this book. It explains the problem of noise which most people are completely unaware of and which causes lots of harm in many areas. This book could and should influence many people to take this severe problem of noise seriously and fight it in the future.

Brilliant and important book

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Some very good stories but a tough listen. Sometimes repetitive which left me listening for 30 minutes to summaries of points already made clear.

Informative but hard going

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Another great book of Kahnemann. Highly recommend it, learned some new things. Very good read.

Excellent

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