Markets, Netflix, Tesla, AI, California, Fraud Titelbild

Markets, Netflix, Tesla, AI, California, Fraud

Markets, Netflix, Tesla, AI, California, Fraud

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Opening

Reformer Machine Workout at YogaSource in Los Gatos.

Indiana. Fernando Mendoza is a truly special.

Markets

1 Year: VGT/QQQ 17%. S&P 500 17%.

2025: 1 yr and 10 yr

QQQ: 20.8% and 19.4% = $100k > 620

VOO 17.8% and 14.8% = $100k > 400

VXUS: 32% and 8.5%

Gold and Silver. Great year. 77% and 200%. That’s 3x.

IBIT and Etha: Down 14% and 10%.

Netflix

  • Great earnings call.
  • 17.6% YoY revenue growth, better than Q4 2024 of 16%.
  • Warner Brothers Acquistion is huge overhang. It will help them:
    • IP. Harry Potter, DC Comics, Game of Thrones, Matrix, Sopranos, Succession, Lord of the Rings. Barbie
  • HBO!

Lemonade

HIMS.

Tesla
  • Autonomous. Finally pulling the driver out in Austin.
  • No longer able to buy FSD outright. Needs to be subscription
  • Lemonade cutting premiums by 50% if you drive a Tesla with FSD. Important implications for all car insurers.

Humanoid Robots

  • Yes Boston Dynamics and many others particularly in China are great, but…
  • Manufacturing, Software, Hardware, ….
XAI

Will have more AI compute than all others combined in < 5years! From Elon

The Colossus 2 supercomputer for @Grok is now operational.

First Gigawatt training cluster in the world. Upgrades to 1.5GW in April.

I’m using Gemini and Grok. Perfect combo.

SpaceX

SpaceX will be ~99% of all Earth payload mass to orbit

  • I think there will be an allocation to Tesla LT shareholders.
  • Could be $1.5T, but could go to $10T.
Politics

Wealth Tax

  • Wealth Tax. 1 time 5% on Billionairs.
    • No limitations on quantity or $ limit.
  • Play Ben Horowitz on wealth tax.
  • More taxes is not the answer. Eliminate Fraud, waste and abuse!
  • Billionaires ~$8T, everyone else $170t.
  • The two Google founders per Gemini represented 23 percent of the aggregate billionaire wealth in CA. Throw in Peter Thiel and well over 30 percent is gone

Video here. https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/2014785916083020062

$23m

  • $125k Rover seized
  • Home in Greece
  • Mansion in LA

Balance the Budget State Audit Report here

Budget Summary

.05% of Californian’s or ~8500 people making over $10m per year pay 25% of the personal income tax liability.

1% of Californian’s pay 49% of Personal Income Tax. $54 billion

  • Uhaul Growth Index:

Companies moving out of California

Recommendations:
  • Rogan
    • Bradley Cooper
    • Ben Affleck and Matt Damon
    • Ethan Hawke
  • Tim Ferris and Bill Gurley


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