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    • The Calm Before the Storm

    • Why Volatility Signals Stability and Vice Versa
    • Autor: Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Gregory F. Treverton
    • Sprecher: Kevin Stillwell
    • Spieldauer: 27 Min.
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    Instead of trying to predict "Black Swan" events such as coups or crises, forecasters should look at how political systems handle disorder. The best indicator of a country's future trajectory is not a lengthy past stability, but recent moderate volatility.

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