Global Fruit Market Summary

• The global fruit market enters the fourth quarter with mixed conditions across major producing and exporting regions. Banana exports from the Philippines have rebounded strongly, while weather, disease risks, market competition, and rising costs continue to shape market conditions across fruits.
• The Philippines is expected to export around 3 million tonnes of bananas in 2025, up 28.8% year on year, restoring its position as the world's second-largest exporter. Improved management of Fusarium wilt TR4 and investment in cultivation have supported the recovery, although higher prices than Vietnamese bananas in China and potential tariff changes in Japan could threaten competitiveness.
• Colombia faces a tougher outlook, with a potential 20% yield decline next year linked to severe weather and an expected intensification of El Nino. Currency movements and rising costs are adding further pressure to producer margins. In Cameroon, European Union funding has improved banana production and post-harvest efficiency, but dependence on European markets remains a key risk.
• Australia's 2025-26 table grape season has been reduced by adverse weather, particularly in Sunraysia, although stronger export prices have provided some support. Vietnam is strengthening food safety and traceability for passion fruit exports to Europe, while Peru's blueberry exports have risen 28% as shipments shift toward the United States and Asian markets.
• Elsewhere, Azerbaijan's peach export revenues have fallen 11.5% amid price and currency pressures, while Morocco's raspberry sector is adapting to supply disruptions through greater use of fresh-to-frozen exports. In India, rising domestic orange supplies from Nagpur and Telangana are challenging imported fruit, with the clearance of remaining South African imports ahead of Diwali likely to influence near-term market stability.