Did Alberta’s Referendum Impact Canadian Investments? How High Can Interest Rates Go Before Markets Adjust to Higher Cost of Borrowing? – Oct 23, 2026

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Did Alberta’s Referendum Impact Canadian Investments? How High Can Interest Rates Go Before Markets Adjust to Higher Cost of Borrowing? – Oct 23, 2026

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Oil prices, Alberta's referendum, rising interest rates, and consumer spending take centre stage in Episode 62's Wealth Roundup.Terry Evans and Patrick Leonard of the Leonard Wealth Advisory Group at BMO Nesbitt Burns examine the narrowing price gap for Western Canadian Select crude and why it's welcome news for Alberta's energy sector and Canadian investors.They also discuss the investment implications of Alberta's referendum results, renewed strength in the Canadian dollar, and growing expectations that the Bank of Canada could raise interest rates.With corporate earnings looking strong, Patrick explains why consumer affordability remains a concern, particularly as borrowing costs climb. Plus, what can U.S. bank earnings tell us about consumer financial health, and are mortgage rates approaching levels that could threaten economic growth?Get Patrick's insights on the market forces shaping investment decisions and what investors should watch in the weeks ahead.Key TopicsMarket performance and seasonality of the S&P 500 and TSXImpact of the Alberta referendum on Canadian investmentsOil prices and their effect on Canadian oil and gas stocksInterest rate movements and mortgage costs in the US and CanadaConsumer spending and earnings season outlook in 2026takeawaysWestern Canadian select closing the gap at $86 is significant for Canadian oil producersThe Alberta referendum reduced uncertainty, strengthening the Canadian dollarThe Bank of Canada is more likely to raise rates to combat inflation, now closer to a 90% probabilityUS bank earnings show strong consumer credit quality but concern grows for lower-income groupsUS mortgage rates are around 6-7%, influencing household spending and real estateChapters00:00 - Market overview and recent performance02:16 - Oil prices and Canadian oil sector update03:21 - Impact of the Alberta referendum on markets04:45 - Bank of Canada rate hike expectations05:37 - Earnings season and consumer spending outlook07:03 - US consumer credit quality and economic health08:37 - Interest rates and mortgage impacts in the US and Canada10:18 - US real estate and consumer spending signalswww.patrickmleonard.comwww.reluctantlypodcast.com @reluctantlypodcast @ZoneOnePodcast @networkofgivingpodcast @TheAlbertaGolfPodcast @DistilleryDiscovery #markettrends #Albertareferendum #interestrates #Canadianeconomy #UShousing #investmentstrategies

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