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The Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Sprecher: David Chandler
Serie: Incerto
Spieldauer: 14 Std. und 20 Min.
4.5 out of 5 stars (280 Bewertungen)

Regulärer Preis: 30,95 €

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Inhaltsangabe

Maverick thinker Nassim Nicholas Taleb had an illustrious career on Wall Street before turning his focus to his black swan theory. Not all swans are white, and not all events, no matter what the experts think, are predictable. Taleb shows that black swans, like 9/11, cannot be foreseen and have an immeasurable impact on the world.
©2007 Nassim Nicholas Taleb (P)2007 Recorded Books, LLC

Kritikerstimmen

"[Taleb] administers a severe thrashing to MBA- and Nobel Prize-credentialed experts who make their living from economic forecasting." ( Booklist)
"The hubris of predictions - and our perpetual surprise when the not-predicted happens - are themes of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's engaging new book....It concerns the occurrence of the improbable, the power of rare events and the author's lament that 'in spite of the empirical record we continue to project into the future as if we were good at it.'" ( The New York Times)

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Gesamt

  • 4.5 out of 5 stars
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  • 4 Sterne
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Sprecher

  • 4.5 out of 5 stars
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Geschichte

  • 4.5 out of 5 stars
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  • Gesamt
    3 out of 5 stars
  • Sprecher
    2 out of 5 stars

Intriguing idea, too much repetition.

It's a very interesting book, but the author keeps making the same point on and on.... you could but the book in half. The speaker pronounces French quite strangely. overall, I would recommend it because it raises an important point

1 von 1 Hörern fanden diese Rezension hilfreich

  • Gesamt
    4 out of 5 stars
  • Sprecher
    4 out of 5 stars
  • Geschichte
    4 out of 5 stars

Fooled by being a human being

A must for everybody who thinks himself as an analytical person. Although fat tails have entered into the common knowledge of many of us, we still remain fooled by randomness and I only was able to utter "of course" after misinterpreting a good number of the examples.

1 von 1 Hörern fanden diese Rezension hilfreich

  • Gesamt
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Sprecher
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Geschichte
    4 out of 5 stars

a book of many colors

This book is soothing for the people that seem to miss the train and follow the herd. Also for the overachiever, it is a good read to understand, why life is still not totally predictable. It is partially using vast vocabulary, yet never boring. Thanks. I will honor it, by applying for my mine and the life of my customers.

  • Gesamt
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Sprecher
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Geschichte
    5 out of 5 stars

As entertaining as educational. Speaker nailed it

Optional review requires at least 15 words? What is this? Is there a way to just rate it???

  • Gesamt
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Sprecher
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Geschichte
    5 out of 5 stars

Must have

Valuable, open eye, Aha moments, elegant way and not complicated to follow although the topic covered are not an easy stuff to digest but respect. The reader is one of the best I heard. Usually, I get really annoyed by the readers well most of them and especially the book authors who also read their books. But this reader David Chandler big big thanks!!! Well received.

  • Gesamt
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Sprecher
    4 out of 5 stars
  • Geschichte
    4 out of 5 stars

Man liebt es oder man hasst es...

Manche finden es auch ganz OK...Einige mögen es auch würden aber nicht sagen., dass sie es lieben...

  • Gesamt
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Sprecher
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Geschichte
    4 out of 5 stars

Great, insightful, influential

Nassim exposes his theory challenging the status quo, taking examples in philosophy and mathematics. sublime

  • Gesamt
    2 out of 5 stars
  • Sprecher
    2 out of 5 stars
  • Geschichte
    2 out of 5 stars
  • P.
  • 26.09.2018

insgesamt eine Enttäuschung

Sehr sperrig anzuhören. Was nervt, sind die mangelnden Fremdsprachenkenntnisse des Sprechers. Die Aussprache, besonders der vielen französischen Begriffe, ist befremdlich unbeholfen. Inhaltlich sehr redundant. Viele überkomplexe Formulierungen, die nicht zur Verständlichkeit beitragen. Sehr von sich eingenommener Autor. Ich war froh, als das Ende erreicht war.

  • Gesamt
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Sprecher
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Geschichte
    5 out of 5 stars

A very insightful read

This book brought me a completely different understanding of the forecasts I listen each morning, quarter, year. Loved it.

  • Gesamt
    4 out of 5 stars
  • Sprecher
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Geschichte
    5 out of 5 stars

Interesting

Gives you a new perspective on some parts of the world and your life. Definetely a recommenation!

The author explains his arguments very much in detail and with lots of intemperances so it is a quite long book.